Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.059266 0.068995 0.079658 0.092193 0.106500 0.122298 0.141039
2025-02-09 0.041827 0.053934 0.068444 0.087031 0.110111 0.137724 0.173150
2025-02-16 0.031673 0.044747 0.061707 0.085122 0.116377 0.156395 0.211200
2025-02-23 0.024269 0.037280 0.055417 0.082196 0.120299 0.172056 0.247045
2025-03-02 0.019175 0.031809 0.050612 0.080102 0.124513 0.188058 0.284747
2025-03-09 0.016035 0.028517 0.048219 0.080824 0.132438 0.209702 0.332341
2025-03-16 0.012956 0.024655 0.044199 0.078245 0.134745 0.222987 0.368666
2025-03-23 0.011617 0.023446 0.044200 0.081977 0.147228 0.252833 0.432998
2025-03-30 0.010036 0.021474 0.042535 0.082550 0.154403 0.274754 0.486625
2025-04-06 0.008412 0.019085 0.039706 0.080581 0.156824 0.288864 0.528487
2025-04-13 0.007144 0.017147 0.037381 0.079136 0.159857 0.304080 0.573309
2025-04-20 0.006630 0.016700 0.037882 0.083103 0.173188 0.338386 0.654082
2025-04-27 0.006112 0.016172 0.038193 0.086844 0.186727 0.374713 0.742418
2025-05-04 0.005124 0.014348 0.035480 0.084019 0.187117 0.386885 0.787921
2025-05-11 0.004438 0.013111 0.033844 0.083226 0.191459 0.406866 0.849697
2025-05-18 0.003759 0.011737 0.031659 0.080887 0.192263 0.419965 0.899328
2025-05-25 0.003217 0.010600 0.029836 0.079089 0.193957 0.434888 0.953654
2025-06-01 0.002886 0.009982 0.029187 0.079940 0.201537 0.462395 1.035282
2025-06-08 0.002451 0.008948 0.027285 0.077455 0.201234 0.473351 1.083866
2025-06-15 0.002321 0.008838 0.027831 0.081190 0.215798 0.517245 1.204523
2025-06-22 0.002088 0.008331 0.027195 0.081777 0.222909 0.545471 1.294006
2025-06-29 0.001801 0.007568 0.025691 0.079834 0.223608 0.559487 1.353823
2025-07-06 0.001569 0.006932 0.024445 0.078406 0.225407 0.576094 1.420539